---
title: "#1 searched person on Google in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/1-searched-person-on-google-in-2026-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1902739.08
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Entertainment", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:15:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/1-searched-person-on-google-in-2026-2026
---

# #1 searched person on Google in 2026

Live · $1,902,739 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

This market asks who will rank #1 in the "People" section of Google's official Year in Search 2026 Global list. It is listed on Polymarket and Kalshi. Both platforms resolve on the People list only, not on other sections such as Searches or News. Polymarket adds that if Google does not publish the list by March 31, 2027, the market resolves to "Other." Each outcome is a named individual, and trading closes December 31, 2026.

Lindsay Clancy is the current favourite at a 24.0% consensus, priced only on Polymarket. Erling Haaland follows at 16.8%, with Kalshi at 16.0% and Polymarket at 17.5%. Bad Bunny is third at 10.8%. Behind them sit Joe Burrow (6.8%), Alysa Liu (5.7%), Donald Trump (5.5%) and Savannah Guthrie (5.5%). Clancy leads Haaland by about 7 points, but most of the probability is spread across a long list of names. That suggests the market sees the outcome as wide open rather than settled.

Cross-platform gaps are modest. Bad Bunny shows a 2.5-point spread, at 12.0% on Kalshi versus 9.5% on Polymarket. Elon Musk diverges more in relative terms, at 3.5% on Kalshi against 0.5% on Polymarket. Timothée Chalamet shows a similar split, at 1.5% on Kalshi versus 0.3% on Polymarket. Several low-priced names on Kalshi were excluded from the consensus because their order books were one-sided.

Overall, the two platforms broadly agree on the leading contenders, and the clearest pricing differences appear in a handful of mid- and low-probability names.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy | 21% | 21¢ on Polymarket | — | 21¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ | 17¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 14¢ | 11¢ |
| Donald Trump | 6% | 5¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ | 5¢ |
| Alysa Liu | 5% | 6.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 6.8¢ |
| Nicolás Maduro | 5% | 8.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 8.9¢ |
| Savannah Guthrie | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | — |
| Joe Burrow | 3% | 5.5¢ on Polymarket | — | 5.5¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 3% | 5¢ on Polymarket | — | 5¢ |
| Matt Damon | 2% | 3.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 3.9¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2% | 2.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 2.9¢ |
| Robert Downey Jr. | 2% | 4.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 4.1¢ |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2% | 3.7¢ on Polymarket | — | 3.7¢ |
| Neymar | 2% | 4¢ on Polymarket | — | 4¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | 4.2¢ |
| Taylor Swift | 2% | 3¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ | 3¢ |
| Travis Kelce | 2% | 3.6¢ on Polymarket | — | 3.6¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 2% | 3.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 3.3¢ |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 2% | 3¢ on Polymarket | — | 3¢ |
| Elon Musk | 2% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | 2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Luigi Mangione | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | — |
| Kanye West | 1% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.8¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 1% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.8¢ |
| Sydney Sweeney | 1% | 2¢ on Polymarket | — | 2¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.9¢ |
| LeBron James | 1% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.6¢ |
| Scarlett Johansson | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.9¢ |
| Ja Morant | 1% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.8¢ |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.8% | 1.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.1¢ |
| Jacob Elordi | 0.7% | 1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ |
| Ariana Grande | 0.7% | 1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ |
| Chappell Roan | 0.7% | 1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ |
| Vladimir Putin | 0.6% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.8¢ |
| Luka Dončić | 0.6% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.9¢ |
| Zendaya | 0.6% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.9¢ |
| Josh Allen | 0.5% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.8¢ |
| Stefon Diggs | 0.5% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.8¢ |
| Christian Pulisic | 0.4% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.7¢ |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Billie Eilish | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Pedro Pascal | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ |
| Caitlin Clark | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ |
| Angel Reese | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ |
| Anthony Edwards | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ |
| Jake Paul | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ |
| JD Vance | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ |
| Scottie Scheffler | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ |
| Kamala Harris | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |

_3 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2466?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/50024?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/1-searched-person-on-google-in-2026-2026.

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