---
title: "10-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/10-year-us-treasury-yield-up-in-next-15-mins-kalshi-e315fb0f
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-19T19:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-19T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 300
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-04T21:53:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10-year-us-treasury-yield-up-in-next-15-mins-kalshi-e315fb0f
---

# 10-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?

Settled · $300 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-10-19.

## About

If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 3:30 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US10Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places.

Yields are expressed as annualized percentages.

The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time.

If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/910409?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10-year-us-treasury-yield-up-in-next-15-mins-kalshi-e315fb0f).

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