---
title: "10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 — December 31, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026-december-31-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7623.15
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:52:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026-december-31-2026
---

# 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 — December 31, 2026

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $7,623 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -30bps | 89% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Above -20bps | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Above -10bps | — | — | — |
| Above 0bps | 92% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| Above 10bps | 90% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| Above 20bps | 82% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Above 30bps | 73% | 77¢ on Kalshi | 77¢ |
| Above 40bps | 54% | 58¢ on Kalshi | 58¢ |
| Above 50bps | 40% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |
| Above 60bps | 26% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |
| Above 70bps | 16% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10635?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-2y-spread-at-the-end-of-2026-december-31-2026.

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