---
title: "10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? — On Dec 31, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end-on-dec-31-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T19:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 51402.58
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:19:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end-on-dec-31-2026
---

# 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? — On Dec 31, 2026

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $51,403 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75% or above | 88% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| 5% or above | 79% | 80¢ on Kalshi | 80¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 71% | 74¢ on Kalshi | 74¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 64% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 64% | 66¢ on Kalshi | 66¢ |
| 5.5% or above | 38% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |
| 5.75% or above | 24% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| 6% or above | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2420?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end-on-dec-31-2026.

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