---
title: "10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — On Jul 9, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026-on-jul-9-2026
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-09T19:30:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 16917.07
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:38:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026-on-jul-9-2026
---

# 10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 9, 2026? — On Jul 9, 2026

Settled · $16,917 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Voided — no outcome won. Settled value: 4.5% or above. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.34% on Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 9, 2026, or one week following Jul 9, 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13518?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-jul-9-2026-on-jul-9-2026.

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