---
title: "10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 20780.09
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:09:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026
---

# 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?

Live · $20,780 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 9, 2026, or one week following Oct 9, 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.11% or above | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 92% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 89% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| 5.21% or above | 75% | 77¢ on Kalshi | 77¢ |
| 5.23% or above | 65% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 33% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| 5.27% or above | 23% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| 5.29% or above | 11% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| 5.31% or above | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 5.33% or above | — | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| 5.35% or above | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| 5.37% or above | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| 5.39% or above | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/693742?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/10y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026.

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