---
title: "1win vs LGD Gaming"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/1win-vs-lgd-gaming
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T16:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T18:15:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T18:15:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1382858.39
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Esports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T17:24:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/1win-vs-lgd-gaming
---

# 1win vs LGD Gaming

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 16:30 UTC · $1,382,858 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**1win** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This event covers the Dota 2 best-of-two series between 1win and LGD Gaming in Group D of the Esports World Cup 2026, originally scheduled for July 9. Prediction markets cover the series result, individual map winners, and whether the BO2 ends in a 1-1 draw. Because a BO2 can split, both teams can carry high win-probability on their respective map markets while the series-level outcomes stay tighter.

On the headline series market, Polymarket prices 1win as the favourite at 53.0%, with LGD Gaming at 26.0% and a 1-1 draw implied around 21.0%. Kalshi's series market has 1win slightly firmer at 53.0% with LGD at 34.0%, while Limitless shows the closest line at 50.0% apiece — a 16-point spread on LGD versus Kalshi that reflects Limitless's thin $79 volume rather than genuine disagreement. On the Map 1 market, 1win is a heavier favourite at 72.0% on Kalshi and as high as 75.0% on Polymarket, suggesting bettors expect 1win to take the opener but see real risk of LGD levelling the series.

The draw market sits around 50.5%–51.0%, unusually high and consistent with how often BO2 group-stage matches split in Dota 2. Volume is concentrated on Polymarket's main series market at roughly $284K, giving those prices the most weight. Across platforms, 1win is a modest series favourite and a clear Map 1 favourite, but the elevated draw probability signals the market's real expectation is a split.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Match Result (1x2): LGD Gaming — 2 outcomes
- Map 1 — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Game 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Match Result (1x2): Draw — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Game 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Match Result (1x2): 1win — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Ends in Daytime — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Both Teams Beat Roshan — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Both Teams Destroy Barracks — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Any Player Ultra Kill — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Any Player Rampage — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Ends in Daytime — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Both Teams Beat Roshan — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Both Teams Destroy Barracks — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Any Player Ultra Kill — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Any Player Rampage — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: First Blood in Game 2? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: First Blood in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? — 2 outcomes
- Esports World Cup Group D: Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/14326?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/14094?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/14553?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/1win-vs-lgd-gaming.

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