---
title: "2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2026-july-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-31T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-11T17:35:40+00:00
total_volume_usd: 172534.61
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-20T10:53:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2026-july-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record
---

# 2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Settled · $172,535 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**1st hottest** won. Settled 2026-08-11.

## About

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. 

Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/13534?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2026-july-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record.

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