---
title: "2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2026-womens-wimbledon-winner-polymarket-4196a8c5
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-12T23:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T17:38:52+00:00
total_volume_usd: 52080132.64
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:38:35+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2026-womens-wimbledon-winner-polymarket-4196a8c5
---

# 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner

Settled · $52,080,133 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Linda Nosková** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

The 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner market covers the final of the Championships, with the title match now set and imminent. Czechia's Karolína Muchová faces compatriot Linda Nosková in the women's singles final at Wimbledon 2026 on Saturday, 11 July — meaning the market has effectively collapsed to a two-horse race between two players from the same country. Their meeting will be the first between two players from the same nation since sisters Venus and Serena Williams met at the All England Club in 2009.

Linda Nosková is the narrow consensus favourite at 57.0%, though the picture varies by platform: Kalshi prices her at 57.0%, while Polymarket and Limitless are closer to 46.0–46.8%, an 11-point cross-platform spread. Muchová reads at 52.7% consensus (Polymarket 52.7%, Limitless 54.1%, Kalshi 46.0%), producing her own 8.1-point spread. The disagreement reflects how evenly matched the two are. Neither player has claimed a Grand Slam singles title, and both arrive in peak form: Nosková won the 2026 Berlin Open ahead of the grass-court Grand Slam, while Muchová won in Bad Homburg. Nosková, the ninth seed, reached her maiden Grand Slam final by defeating 12th seed Marta Kostyuk 6-4, 6-4 in the semi-finals, while Muchová saved a match point to beat Coco Gauff 6-2, 1-6, 7-6 (12-10) in an epic deciding-set tie-break.

With the field reduced to just two live contenders and a final scheduled for today, the two platforms disagree on who holds the edge — making this one of the widest meaningful spreads of the event, and a rare final where no clear cross-platform consensus has emerged.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3609?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4754?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4877?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2026-womens-wimbledon-winner-polymarket-4196a8c5.

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