---
title: "2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner — In 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2027-nobel-peace-prize-winner-in-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-12-31T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12838.42
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:47:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2027-nobel-peace-prize-winner-in-2027
---

# 2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner — In 2027

Live · $12,838 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If two or more listed candidates are named as laureates of the Nobel Peace Prize, each of their markets will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, rounded down to the nearest cent, where N is the number of listed candidates named as laureates, and all other markets will resolve to No. Laureates who are not listed are not counted, and a listed candidate made up of more than one person counts as one candidate.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 10% | 9.9¢ on Kalshi | 9.9¢ |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 7% | 8.7¢ on Kalshi | 8.7¢ |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 6% | 7.4¢ on Kalshi | 7.4¢ |
| Melania Trump | 6% | 7.7¢ on Kalshi | 7.7¢ |
| Jimmy Lai | 6% | 8.1¢ on Kalshi | 8.1¢ |
| UNRWA | 5% | 7.6¢ on Kalshi | 7.6¢ |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 5% | 7.6¢ on Kalshi | 7.6¢ |
| Donald Trump | 4% | 4.5¢ on Kalshi | 4.5¢ |
| Pope Leo XIV | 4% | 5.8¢ on Kalshi | 5.8¢ |
| Minneapolis | 4% | 5.7¢ on Kalshi | 5.7¢ |
| Elon Musk | 3% | 5.6¢ on Kalshi | 5.6¢ |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 3% | 3.3¢ on Kalshi | 3.3¢ |
| Julian Assange | 3% | 4.2¢ on Kalshi | 4.2¢ |
| Doctors Without Borders | 3% | 2.8¢ on Kalshi | 2.8¢ |
| Save the Children | 2% | 2.5¢ on Kalshi | 2.5¢ |
| International Court of Justice | 2% | 1.9¢ on Kalshi | 1.9¢ |
| Francesca Albanese | 2% | 1.8¢ on Kalshi | 1.8¢ |
| Vanessa Nakate | 1% | 1.4¢ on Kalshi | 1.4¢ |
| Parents Circle – Families Forum | 1% | 1.4¢ on Kalshi | 1.4¢ |
| World Health Organization | — | — | — |
| International Criminal Court | — | — | — |
| António Guterres | — | — | — |
| Greta Thunberg | — | — | — |
| Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine | — | — | — |
| Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | — | — | — |
| Reporters Without Borders (RSF) | — | — | — |
| David Attenborough | — | — | — |
| Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue | — | — | — |
| Imran Khan | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1022075?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2027-nobel-peace-prize-winner-in-2027).

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