---
title: "2028 Electoral College margin of victory? — Nov 7, 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory-nov-7-2028
status: live
kickoff_at: 2028-11-07T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2029-05-06T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7022.09
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:56:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory-nov-7-2028
---

# 2028 Electoral College margin of victory? — Nov 7, 2028

Live · kickoff 2028-11-07 00:00 UTC · $7,022 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic by 1 to 10 | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Republican by 1 to 10 | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Democratic by 11 to 30 | 10% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Republican by 11 to 30 | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Democratic by 31 to 60 | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Republican by 31 to 60 | — | — | — |
| Democratic by 61 to 90 | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Republican by 61 to 90 | — | — | — |
| Democratic by 91 to 130 | 15% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Republican by 91 to 130 | — | — | — |
| Democratic by 131 to 210 | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Republican by 131 to 210 | — | — | — |
| Democratic by 211 or more | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Republican by 211 or more | 5% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/362?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-electoral-college-margin-of-victory-nov-7-2028.

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