---
title: "2028 Florida Republican primary winner? — FL"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2028-florida-republican-primary-winner-fl
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 119.87
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:31:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-florida-republican-primary-winner-fl
---

# 2028 Florida Republican primary winner? — FL

Live · $120 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 12% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| J.D. Vance | — | — | — |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — |
| Tucker Carlson | — | — | — |
| Thomas Massie | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1167752?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-florida-republican-primary-winner-fl).

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