---
title: "2028 Iowa Democratic caucus winner? — IA"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2028-iowa-democratic-caucus-winner-ia
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 47.99
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:24:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-iowa-democratic-caucus-winner-ia
---

# 2028 Iowa Democratic caucus winner? — IA

Live · $48 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

This market resolves on the first statewide presidential preference vote the Iowa Democratic Party conducts for the 2028 nomination that reports a statewide count of votes for candidates (a caucus, a party-run primary or a mail-in preference vote), whether or not the Democratic National Committee recognizes it or seats its delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | — | — | — |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | — | — | — |
| Gavin Newsom | — | — | — |
| Pete Buttigieg | — | — | — |
| Kamala Harris | — | — | — |
| Josh Shapiro | — | — | — |
| Andy Beshear | — | — | — |
| Mark Kelly | — | — | — |
| James Talarico | — | — | — |
| Abdul El-Sayed | — | — | — |
| Raphael Warnock | — | — | — |
| Wes Moore | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1154306?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-iowa-democratic-caucus-winner-ia).

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