---
title: "2028 Presidential matchup"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2028-presidential-matchup
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-07T10:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 303592.66
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:56:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-presidential-matchup
---

# 2028 Presidential matchup

Live · $303,593 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance | 16% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| AOC v. JD Vance | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance | 8% | 9.7¢ on Kalshi | 9.7¢ |
| AOC v. Marco Rubio | 8% | 8.7¢ on Kalshi | 8.7¢ |
| Kamala Harris v. JD Vance | 6% | 6.1¢ on Kalshi | 6.1¢ |
| Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio | 5% | 6.7¢ on Kalshi | 6.7¢ |
| Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio | 3% | 3.7¢ on Kalshi | 3.7¢ |
| Andy Beshear v. JD Vance | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio | 1% | 1.9¢ on Kalshi | 1.9¢ |
| Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio | 1% | 1.4¢ on Kalshi | 1.4¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance | 1% | 1.5¢ on Kalshi | 1.5¢ |
| Josh Shapiro v. Marco Rubio | 0.7% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio | 0.6% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| James Talarico v. Marco Rubio | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ |
| James Talarico v. JD Vance | 0.4% | 0.7¢ on Kalshi | 0.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292813?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-presidential-matchup.

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