---
title: "2028 Presidential race: exact outcome"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2028-presidential-race-exact-outcome
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T10:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 128835.31
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:14:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-presidential-race-exact-outcome
---

# 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

Live · $128,835 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom | 12% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris | 8% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| AOC defeats JD Vance | 8% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| JD Vance defeats AOC | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats AOC | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| AOC defeats Marco Rubio | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| James Talarico defeats JD Vance | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| JD Vance defeats James Talarico | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio | — | — | — |
| JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear | — | — | — |
| Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292812?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2028-presidential-race-exact-outcome.

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