---
title: "2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? — in 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-in-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-10-27T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 812.26
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:09:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-in-2030
---

# 2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? — in 2030

Live · $812 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A special election held under Article 81 of the Constitution of Brazil does NOT count as the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.

Only the candidate elected President counts; a candidate elected Vice President does NOT count.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarcísio de Freitas | — | — | — |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | — | — | — |
| Ratinho Júnior | — | — | — |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Leite | — | — | — |
| Renan Santos | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Boulos | — | — | — |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Caiado | — | — | — |
| Romeu Zema | — | — | — |
| Geraldo Alckmin | — | — | — |
| João Campos | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1035663?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-in-2030).

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