---
title: "2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party) — in 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-10-27T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7801.84
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T06:05:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030
---

# 2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party) — in 2030

Live · $7,802 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT | 32% | 36¢ on Kalshi | 36¢ |
| Republicanos | 23% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| PL | 21% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| PSB | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| PSD | 5% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| NOVO | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Missão | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1026352?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-brazil-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.