---
title: "2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party) — in 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/2030-mexico-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-06-02T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:27:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-mexico-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030
---

# 2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party) — in 2030

Live · $14 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute (INE) for the election. A candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | — | — | — |
| PAN | — | — | — |
| MC | — | — | — |
| PRI | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1125065?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/2030-mexico-presidential-election-winner-party-in-2030).

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