---
title: "5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T19:30:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4551.59
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:00:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026
---

# 5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?

Live · $4,552 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 9, 2026, or one week following Oct 9, 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.88% or above | — | — | — |
| 4.9% or above | 94% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| 4.92% or above | — | — | — |
| 4.94% or above | — | — | — |
| 4.96% or above | — | — | — |
| 4.98% or above | 66% | 75¢ on Kalshi | 75¢ |
| 5% or above | 51% | 58¢ on Kalshi | 58¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 32% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 17% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 9% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| 5.08% or above | — | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| 5.1% or above | — | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| 5.12% or above | — | — | — |
| 5.14% or above | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/752184?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/5y-us-treasury-yield-on-oct-9-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.