---
title: "Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner — 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-winner-2026-abu-dhabi-aldar-championship
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-22T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4676558.59
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "World", "Golf"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:08:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-winner-2026-abu-dhabi-aldar-championship
---

# Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship Winner — 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship

Live · $4,676,559 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows:
Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No
Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 24% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ | 26¢ | 26¢ |
| Jon Rahm | 17% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ | 20¢ | 18¢ |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ | 15¢ | 14¢ |
| Francesco Laporta | 8% | 8.3¢ on Kalshi | 8.3¢ | 8.9¢ | 8.3¢ |
| Matthew Jordan | 6% | 6.5¢ on Kalshi | 6.5¢ | 7.8¢ | 6.6¢ |
| Adrian Meronk | 6% | 5.9¢ on Kalshi | 5.9¢ | 7.4¢ | 5.9¢ |
| Sam Bairstow | 4% | 4.8¢ on Polymarket US | 4.9¢ | 6.3¢ | 4.8¢ |
| Adam Scott | 4% | 4.3¢ on Kalshi | 4.3¢ | 5.7¢ | 4.4¢ |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 3% | 3.4¢ on Kalshi | 3.4¢ | 4.7¢ | 3.5¢ |
| David Puig | 3% | 3.2¢ on Kalshi | 3.2¢ | 5.4¢ | 3.3¢ |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 3.1¢ | 9.8¢ | 3¢ |
| Daniel Hillier | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | 4.1¢ | 2¢ |
| Ewen Ferguson | 1% | 1.1¢ on Polymarket US | 1.2¢ | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0.8% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ | 2.9¢ | 1¢ |
| Matt Wallace | 0.8% | 0.9¢ on Kalshi | 0.9¢ | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Manuel Elvira | 0.6% | 0.7¢ on Kalshi | 0.7¢ | 54¢ | 0.7¢ |
| Martin Couvra | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket US | 0.6¢ | 2.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Aaron Rai | 0.4% | 0.5¢ on Kalshi | 0.5¢ | 1.6¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Nacho Elvira | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ | — | — |
| Nathan Kimsey | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Jayden Schaper | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ | 2.2¢ | — |
| Joe Dean | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ | — | — |
| Ignacio Elvira | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Frederic LaCroix | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | 0.2¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Oliver Lindell | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | 0.2¢ | 2.1¢ | — |
| Richard Sterne | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | 0.2¢ | 44¢ | — |
| Marcus Armitage | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Dan Bradbury | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | — | — |
| Davis Bryant | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 3.9¢ | — |
| Jorge Campillo | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 65¢ | — |
| Filippo Celli | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Ugo Coussaud | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 54¢ | — |
| Gregorio De Leo | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Wenyi Ding | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Hennie Du Plessis | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 58¢ | — |
| Grant Forrest | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 54¢ | — |
| Ricardo Gouveia | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 67¢ | — |
| Julien Guerrier | — | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | 0.2¢ | 1.8¢ | — |
| Jordan Gumberg | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 67¢ | — |
| Michael Hollick | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Scott Jamieson | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Casey Jarvis | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Kota Kaneko | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.3¢ | — |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Joakim Lagergren | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 57¢ | — |
| Thriston Lawrence | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Mikael Lindberg | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 56¢ | — |
| Joost Luiten | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 2¢ | — |
| Stefano Mazzoli | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 1.5¢ | — |
| Guido Migliozzi | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | 3.9¢ | — |

_42 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1103896?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1105734?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1115460?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/abu-dhabi-aldar-championship-winner-2026-abu-dhabi-aldar-championship).

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