---
title: "AL Cy Young Winner? — 2026 season"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/al-cy-young-winner-2026-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4218079.15
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:04:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/al-cy-young-winner-2026-season
---

# AL Cy Young Winner? — 2026 season

Live · $4,218,079 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market asks who will win the American League Cy Young Award for the 2026 MLB season, with each outcome representing an individual pitcher (plus a "Tie/Co-Winners" option on some venues). It is listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini, with combined volume approaching $3.9 million and Kalshi carrying the bulk of activity at roughly $2.6 million.

Cam Schlittler is the clear favourite at a 65.5% consensus, trading at 65.5% on Polymarket, 64.3% on Polymarket US and 63.0% on both Kalshi and Gemini — a fairly tight 4.45-point spread. Dylan Cease is the only other serious contender at a 34.5% consensus, ranging from 31.7% on Polymarket US and 31.9% on Polymarket up to 35.0% on Kalshi and 36.0% on Gemini. Together, Schlittler and Cease account for essentially the entire probability mass, leaving the remaining field — including names like Tarik Skubal, Garrett Crochet, Gerrit Cole and Joe Ryan — priced at 2% or lower on most venues.

Across platforms, pricing on the two front-runners is broadly consistent, with Gemini and Kalshi slightly more generous on Cease than the Polymarket venues.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-31; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 99% | 98¢ on Polymarket US | — | 99¢ | 100¢ | 98¢ |
| Ranger Suarez | 1% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 48¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 1¢ |
| Sonny Gray | 0.3% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ |
| Hunter Brown | 0.3% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Dylan Cease | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 1.2¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Jacob Degrom | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Gavin Williams | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Jose Soriano | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Shane McClanahan | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.2¢ |
| Parker Messick | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Sean Burke | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Drew Rasmussen | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Tarik Skubal | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Garrett Crochet | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Cole Ragans | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Max Fried | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Bryan Woo | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Logan Gilbert | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Rodon | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| George Kirby | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Joe Ryan | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Kevin Gausman | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Nathan Eovaldi | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Trevor Rogers | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Kyle Bradish | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| MacKenzie Gore | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Pablo Lopez | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Trey Yesavage | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Luis Castillo | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Jack Flaherty | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 1¢ | — | 0.1¢ |
| Shane Bieber | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Bibee | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yusei Kikuchi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grayson Rodriguez | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Kris Bubic | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Brayan Bello | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Bryce Miller | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Casey Mize | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Gerrit Cole | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Gil | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aroldis Chapman | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Michael Wacha | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | — | — |
| Tie/Co-Winners | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | — | — |
| Emerson Hancock | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taj Bradley | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Springs | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Severino | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davis Martin | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Framber Valdez | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Warren | — | — | — | — | — | — |

_4 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299957?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2486?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5128?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299622?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/al-cy-young-winner-2026-season.

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