---
title: "Alaska Senate election margin of victory — On Jun 2, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alaska-senate-election-margin-of-victory-on-jun-2-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-06-02T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 62695.38
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:31:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alaska-senate-election-margin-of-victory-on-jun-2-2026
---

# Alaska Senate election margin of victory — On Jun 2, 2026

Live · $62,695 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Sullivan, 0-3% | 22% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Mary Peltola, 0-3% | 28% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Dan Sullivan, 3-6% | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Mary Peltola, 3-6% | 25% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Dan Sullivan, 6-9% | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Mary Peltola, 6-9% | 12% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Dan Sullivan, 9-12% | — | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola, 9-12% | 5% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Dan Sullivan, ≥12% | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Mary Peltola, ≥12% | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293106?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alaska-senate-election-margin-of-victory-on-jun-2-2026.

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