---
title: "Alaska Senate Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alaska-senate-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10503550.86
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:05:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alaska-senate-election-winner
---

# Alaska Senate Election Winner

Live · $10,503,551 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Peltola | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ | 99¢ | 99¢ |
| Dan Sullivan | 3% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | 2.8¢ | 1.8¢ | 3¢ |
| Ann Diener | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Dustin Darden | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Richard Grayson | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Daniel J. Sullivan | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | — |
| Sid Hill | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | 0.1¢ | — | — |
| David Leslie | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Gerald Heikes | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293498?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5227?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299633?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alaska-senate-election-winner).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.