---
title: "Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — On Oct 19, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share-on-oct-19-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-19T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 31805.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:33:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share-on-oct-19-2026
---

# Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — On Oct 19, 2026

Live · $31,806 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The value is the percentage of valid votes cast for Option 1 (Alberta should remain a province of Canada) on Question 10 of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum, as reported in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results. Preliminary results do not qualify. Valid votes are votes for either Question 10 option; blank and rejected ballots are excluded. Rounding follows Elections Alberta’s reported convention. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 89% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| At least 65% | 86% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| At least 70% | 70% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| At least 75% | 48% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| At least 77% | — | — | — |
| At least 80% | — | — | — |
| At least 85% | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/600465?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alberta-referendum-remain-vote-share-on-oct-19-2026.

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