---
title: "Alcaraz vs Arnaldi"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alcaraz-vs-arnaldi
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-03T03:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-03T06:30:21+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5461402.75
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:35:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alcaraz-vs-arnaldi
---

# Alcaraz vs Arnaldi

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-03 03:30 UTC · $5,461,403 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Carlos Alcaraz** won. Settled 2026-10-03.

## About

The following market refers to the Alcaraz vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 17.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 18.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 4 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 4 outcomes
- Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Exact Match Score — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 4 outcomes
- Alcaraz wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Carlos Alcaraz by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Over 2.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Matteo Arnaldi by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Alcaraz wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −4.5 — 1 outcomes
- Total O/U 24.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 25.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 28.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 29.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 30.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Carlos Alcaraz −5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Carlos Alcaraz −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Carlos Alcaraz −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Carlos Alcaraz −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −4.5 — 1 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Sets — 2 outcomes
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19 — 2 outcomes
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 27 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/692408?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/685499?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/677920?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678182?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678302?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678685?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alcaraz-vs-arnaldi.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.