---
title: "Alcatraz reopened in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alcatraz-reopened-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1381.04
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:28:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alcatraz-reopened-in-2026
---

# Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

Live · $1,381 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 3.4¢ on Polymarket | 3.4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7530?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alcatraz-reopened-in-2026.

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