---
title: "Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/alex-de-minaur-vs-rei-sakamoto-polymarket-c3e3a971
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-10-12T02:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-19T02:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6.07
venues: ["Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T09:41:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alex-de-minaur-vs-rei-sakamoto-polymarket-c3e3a971
---

# Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto

Live · kickoff 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC · $6 traded · listed on Limitless, Polymarket

## About

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Rei Sakamoto in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Rei Sakamoto.

This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Alex de Minaur.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Limitless | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | 69% | 69¢ on Limitless | 69¢ | 69¢ |
| Rei Sakamoto | 32% | 31¢ on Limitless | 31¢ | 32¢ |

## Other markets

- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set 2 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto Set Handicap +/-1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Alex de Minaur −3.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/784289?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/783609?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/alex-de-minaur-vs-rei-sakamoto-polymarket-c3e3a971.

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