---
title: "Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/another-blue-origin-rocket-explodes-by-oct-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 653.46
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:57:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/another-blue-origin-rocket-explodes-by-oct-31
---

# Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

Live · $653 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 4.9¢ on Polymarket | 4.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/656065?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/another-blue-origin-rocket-explodes-by-oct-31.

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