---
title: "Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-polymarket-6d084b6c
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 501.98
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:53:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-polymarket-6d084b6c
---

# Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Live · $502 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.

Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. 

An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## November 30

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39% | 50¢ on Polymarket | 50¢ |
| No | 61% | 72¢ on Polymarket | 72¢ |

## Other markets

- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/756668?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-polymarket-6d084b6c.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.