---
title: "Anthropic lab leak by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/anthropic-lab-leak-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 147228.58
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:00:29+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/anthropic-lab-leak-by
---

# Anthropic lab leak by...?

Live · $147,229 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.

Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 3.4¢ on Polymarket | 3.4¢ |
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/565166?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/anthropic-lab-leak-by.

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