---
title: "Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 168686.02
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:10:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027
---

# Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Live · $168,686 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5430?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027.

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