---
title: "Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ararat-armenia-vs-shamrock
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-28T23:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-21T18:00:08+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1857367
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T03:45:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ararat-armenia-vs-shamrock
---

# Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-21 00:00 UTC · $1,857,367 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Ararat-Armenia FA** won. Settled 2026-07-21.

## About

This is a UEFA Champions League Qualifying Round 2 tie between Ararat-Armenia and Shamrock Rovers, played across two legs — the first in Yerevan on July 21 and the second in Dublin on July 28. The markets track both individual match outcomes and overall tie progression. In the first leg, Ararat-Armenia won 2–0, with goals from Sandro Lima and Zidane Banjaqui. That result set the context for the second leg: the aggregate stood at 2–2 going into the return fixture, meaning Shamrock Rovers needed to win in Dublin to advance.

On Kalshi, Ararat-Armenia winning the tie is priced at 90.0% and Shamrock advancing at just 12.0% — reflecting a decisive outcome already known at the time of the snapshot. The event is marked closed, and the probability data (with nearly all outcomes clustering at 99.0–99.9%) strongly suggests the markets have resolved. The "Shamrock Rovers FC" outcome on Polymarket sits at 99.9%, which is consistent with Shamrock having won the second leg and advanced on aggregate. Notably, the one standout anomaly is Limitless, where the match winner market shows Ararat-Armenia FA and Shamrock Rovers each priced near 50.0% and Draw near 49.9% — far out of step with Kalshi's near-certain readings and likely reflecting stale or unresolved liquidity on that platform.

All active, liquid platforms — Kalshi and Polymarket — converge tightly on the same resolved outcome, with Limitless the sole outlier showing wide, unresolved spreads of up to 98.9 percentage points versus the consensus.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-28; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Shamrock Rovers FC — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 0 - 0 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Shamrock Rovers FC (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Shamrock Rovers FC — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Total Goals — 0 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 0 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 0 outcomes
- To Advance — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes
- Regulation Time Total Goals — 0 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 0 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 0 outcomes
- Regulation Time Total Goals — 4 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 0 - 1 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Draw (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Draw — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Neither — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 1 - 0 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Ararat-Armenia FA (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 0 - 2 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 1 - 1 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 2 - 0 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 0 - 3 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 1 - 2 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Both Teams to Score — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 2 - 1 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- Both Teams to Score in First Half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Shamrock Rovers FC 3 - 0 Ararat-Armenia FA — 2 outcomes
- … and 28 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/110590?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/37957?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/42771?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ararat-armenia-vs-shamrock.

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