---
title: "Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 74942.6
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:57:19+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
---

# Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Live · $74,943 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

_From Polymarket's listing._

## $500M

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | 68¢ on Polymarket | 68¢ |
| No | 33% | 34¢ on Polymarket | 34¢ |

## Other markets

- $800M — 2 outcomes
- $1B — 2 outcomes
- $2B — 2 outcomes
- $3B — 2 outcomes
- $4B — 2 outcomes
- $5B — 2 outcomes
- $6B — 2 outcomes
- $7B — 2 outcomes
- $8B — 2 outcomes
- $9B — 2 outcomes
- $10B — 2 outcomes
- $15B — 2 outcomes
- $20B — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6043?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.

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