---
title: "Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/argentina-presidential-election-first-round-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-25T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4883.46
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:12:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-presidential-election-first-round-winner
---

# Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Live · $4,883 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 44% | 44¢ on Polymarket | 44¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 25% | 34¢ on Polymarket | 34¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 4% | 6.8¢ on Polymarket | 6.8¢ |
| Guillermo Moreno | 4% | 6.8¢ on Polymarket | 6.8¢ |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | 4% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 6.9¢ |
| Facundo Manes | 3% | 6.1¢ on Polymarket | 6.1¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 2% | 4.3¢ on Polymarket | 4.3¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | 2% | 2.9¢ on Polymarket | 2.9¢ |
| Esteban Bullrich | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ |
| Karina Milei | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Nicolás del Caño | 0.3% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | — | 36¢ on Polymarket | 36¢ |
| Dante Gebel | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/693511?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-presidential-election-first-round-winner.

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