---
title: "Argentina Presidential Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/argentina-presidential-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-25T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 830153.4
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:26:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-presidential-election-winner
---

# Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Live · $830,153 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. 

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 57% | 56¢ on Polymarket | 56¢ | 60¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 32% | 32¢ on Polymarket US | 33¢ | 32¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket US | 8.4¢ | 6¢ |
| Dante Gebel | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2.8¢ | 2¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | 1% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | 1.6¢ | 2¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 1% | 0.5¢ on Polymarket | 0.5¢ | 3¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 1% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ | 2¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 1% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 0.8¢ | 2¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 1% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 1.4¢ | — |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | 1.6¢ | — |
| Juan Schiaretti | 0.9% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ | 2¢ |
| Esteban Bullrich | 0.9% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Facundo Manes | 0.9% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | 0.4% | 0.6¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ | — |
| Guillermo Moreno | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | — |
| Máximo Kirchner | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ | — |
| Karina Milei | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ | — |
| Nicolás del Caño | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ | — |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | — | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5339?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299749?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-presidential-election-winner.

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