---
title: "Argentina vs Egypt"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/argentina-vs-egypt-polymarket-2b5f980f
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-07T16:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-07T18:28:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 326395500.1
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T04:19:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-vs-egypt-polymarket-2b5f980f
---

# Argentina vs Egypt

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC · $326,395,500 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Argentina** won. Settled 2026-07-07.

## About

This event is a Round of 16 World Cup match currently in play, and Egypt has taken a shock 1-0 lead. Let me write the description.

This is a Round of 16 clash at the 2026 FIFA World Cup between defending champions Argentina and Egypt, played at Atlanta Stadium with kickoff at noon ET. The winner advances to a quarterfinal against Switzerland or Colombia. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Azuro-adjacent books, dozens of side markets are listed — moneyline, spread, corners, first goalscorer, exact score, halftime result, player props on Messi, Salah, Mac Allister and others — with total volume north of $136M and the moneyline alone drawing roughly $9.6M on Kalshi.

The headline "Argentina to advance" line sits at 71.0% on Kalshi (69.0% direct), while the regulation moneyline has Argentina at just 49.0% consensus — 48.0% on Polymarket, 47.0% on Kalshi and 46.6% on Limitless — with the draw at 32.0% and Egypt at 23.5%. That combination signals a market pricing in extra-time risk rather than a comfortable Argentine win. Cross-platform spreads are tight, peaking around 3.5 points on the Egypt regulation line and 2.5 points on Argentina, so pricing is broadly aligned.

The reason the regulation favourite has narrowed is unfolding live: Egypt lead 1-0 after a 15th-minute header from Yasser Ibrahim off a Marawan Attia cross, and Argentina is trailing for the first time this World Cup. Messi has also missed a penalty, his second consecutive missed World Cup spot-kick outside of shootouts. Argentina needed a late own goal to beat Cabo Verde 3-2 in the Round of 32, while Egypt reached this stage for the first time by beating Australia on penalties. Across all four platforms, the takeaway is a market that still trusts Argentina to progress but no longer trusts them to win in 90 minutes.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-07; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Total — 4 outcomes
- Second Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- First Half Total — 4 outcomes
- First Half Spread — 2 outcomes
- Regulation Time Team Total — 7 outcomes
- Team Corners — 6 outcomes
- Score or Assist — 7 outcomes
- Goalscorer — 17 outcomes
- First Team to Score — 3 outcomes
- Total Corners — 5 outcomes
- Assists — 11 outcomes
- To Advance — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Egypt Starters — 26 outcomes
- Argentina Starters — 26 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Egypt — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Argentina — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Argentina — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Argentina (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners: Egypt Corners: O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Argentina First Goalscorer — 11 outcomes
- Emam Ashour: 5+ shots — 2 outcomes
- Haissem Hassan: 1+ assists — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Draw — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Egypt — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Draw (2h) — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Egypt — 2 outcomes
- … and 340 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8897?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4096?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4695?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5039?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-vs-egypt-polymarket-2b5f980f.

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