--- title: "Argentina vs Switzerland" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/argentina-vs-switzerland status: settled kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00 trading_closes_at: 2026-07-13T01:00:00+00:00 settled_at: 2026-07-12T03:04:25+00:00 total_volume_usd: 293117649.52 venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"] categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"] prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:40:42+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-vs-switzerland --- # Argentina vs Switzerland Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC · $293,117,650 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket ## Result **Draw** won. Settled 2026-07-12. ## About This is a live match — the snapshot was taken at 00:03 UTC on July 12, just over an hour after kickoff, and search results have not returned a confirmed final score. Here is the description based on available data: This market covers the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal between defending champion Argentina and Switzerland, played July 11 in Kansas City. The headline question — whether Argentina advance — sits at 75.0% on Kalshi, with Switzerland's chances implied at 26.0% on the same platform. The match is a knockout tie, so a draw after ninety minutes leads to extra time and penalties, keeping the Swiss path alive even without a regulation win. Lionel Scaloni's side are looking to become the first back-to-back champions since Brazil in 1962. Argentina hold a clear edge across all platforms. Polymarket's outright market prices Argentina at 57.5% and Switzerland at 15.8%, reflecting a narrower regulation-win probability versus the tournament-advance figure on Kalshi — the gap is explained by knockout rules allowing Argentina to advance via extra time or penalties. Neither side had an easy route to the last eight: Switzerland beat Colombia on penalties in the round of 16, while Argentina overcame a two-goal deficit to defeat Egypt 3-2. The draw for the halftime result market stands at roughly 27.3% on Polymarket, consistent with a tight, low-scoring first half. Messi's goalscorer odds sit at 51.0% to score 1+ goals on Kalshi, reflecting his extraordinary tournament form — he has tallied a tournament-high eight goals thus far and scored in every game he has played. Switzerland have reached the World Cup quarterfinals for the first time since 1954, which contextualises why markets price them as significant but not prohibitive underdogs. Cross-platform consensus is tight, with the largest spread just 1.25 percentage points on Switzerland's advancement chance between Kalshi (17.0%) and Limitless/Polymarket (15.8%), signalling strong agreement that Argentina are comfortably favoured but the match is far from decided. _AI-written summary written 2026-07-12; its figures date from then — the table below is live._ ## Other markets - To Advance — 2 outcomes - First Team to Score — 3 outcomes - Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes - Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes - First Half Spread — 2 outcomes - First Half Winner — 3 outcomes - First Half Total — 4 outcomes - Second Half Winner — 3 outcomes - Regulation Time Team Total — 7 outcomes - Second Half Spread — 2 outcomes - Goalscorer — 18 outcomes - Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes - Halftime Result: Argentina — 2 outcomes - Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland — 2 outcomes - Score or Assist — 10 outcomes - Assists — 12 outcomes - First Team to Score: Argentina — 2 outcomes - Team Corners — 6 outcomes - Total Corners — 5 outcomes - Second Half Result: Argentina (2h) — 2 outcomes - Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes - Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots — 2 outcomes - Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target — 2 outcomes - Remo Freuler: 1+ shots on target — 2 outcomes - Fabian Rieder: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes - Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target — 2 outcomes - Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes - Second Half Total — 4 outcomes - First Goalscorer — 2 outcomes - Switzerland Starters — 26 outcomes - Argentina Starters — 26 outcomes - Cédric Itten: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals — 2 outcomes - Granit Xhaka: 2+ goals — 2 outcomes - Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals — 2 outcomes - Total Corners: Switzerland Corners: O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes - Switzerland First Goalscorer — 11 outcomes - Argentina First Goalscorer — 11 outcomes - Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes - … and 315 more _Every market's prices are on the event page._ ## Open on a venue - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10345?via=md) - [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/11319?via=md) - [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12098?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/argentina-vs-switzerland. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.