---
title: "Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/matteo-arnaldi-vs-taylor-fritz
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-10-10T05:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1933.27
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:51:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/matteo-arnaldi-vs-taylor-fritz
---

# Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz

Live · kickoff 2026-10-10 05:10 UTC · $1,933 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | 79% | 78¢ on Limitless | — | 78¢ | 79¢ | 79¢ | 79¢ |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 22% | 22¢ on Polymarket | — | 22¢ | 23¢ | 22¢ | 22¢ |

## Other markets

- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Taylor Fritz −1.5 — 1 outcomes
- Matteo Arnaldi by over 1.5 sets — 1 outcomes
- Taylor Fritz by over 1.5 sets — 1 outcomes
- Fritz wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Fritz wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Over 2.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Taylor Fritz −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Taylor Fritz −3.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/770015?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761350?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/759860?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/761051?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/759638?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/matteo-arnaldi-vs-taylor-fritz.

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