---
title: "Arnaldi vs Sakamoto"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/arnaldi-vs-sakamoto
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-09-30T08:15:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-14T02:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-30T12:00:23+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2729505.3
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:51:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/arnaldi-vs-sakamoto
---

# Arnaldi vs Sakamoto

Settled · kickoff 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC · $2,729,505 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket US

## Result

**Matteo Arnaldi** won. Settled 2026-09-30.

## About

The following market refers to the Arnaldi vs Sakamoto professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Other markets

- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Sakamoto wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Sakamoto wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Arnaldi wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Matteo Arnaldi by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Rei Sakamoto by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Over 2.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Rei Sakamoto −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Rei Sakamoto −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Matteo Arnaldi −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Rei Sakamoto −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Sets — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23 — 2 outcomes
- … and 5 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/667594?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/658650?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/649309?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/647565?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/arnaldi-vs-sakamoto.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.