---
title: "Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-polymarket-6ab25cd3
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-11-09T20:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-16T20:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 204.55
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T15:20:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-polymarket-6ab25cd3
---

# Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova

Live · kickoff 2026-11-09 20:00 UTC · $205 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Karolina Muchova.

This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Aryna Sabalenka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 65% | 65¢ on Polymarket | 65¢ | 66¢ |
| Karolina Muchova | 36% | 36¢ on Polymarket US | 37¢ | 36¢ |

## Other markets

- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Aryna Sabalenka −2.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1171726?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1131474?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/aryna-sabalenka-vs-karolina-muchova-polymarket-6ab25cd3).

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