---
title: "Atlanta vs Green Bay"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/atlanta-vs-green-bay-kalshi-4bf06dd0
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-09-25T00:15:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-21T14:02:22+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-25T03:17:29+00:00
total_volume_usd: 111350833.95
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T18:48:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/atlanta-vs-green-bay-kalshi-4bf06dd0
---

# Atlanta vs Green Bay

Settled · kickoff 2026-09-25 00:15 UTC · $111,350,834 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket US

## Result

**Falcons** won. Settled 2026-09-25.

## About

This Week 3 NFL Thursday Night Football matchup is live and in progress at Lambeau Field, with the Atlanta Falcons visiting the Green Bay Packers. The moneyline winner market resolves on whichever team wins the full game outright; a tie pays $0.50 each on Kalshi. The Falcons enter as the favourite at a consensus 67.5%, though the platforms diverge sharply: Polymarket US prices Atlanta at 69.5% while Kalshi sits at just 36.0% — a notable 33.5-point spread, the widest cross-platform gap in the dataset. That asymmetry likely reflects differing liquidity and update cycles during a live game rather than genuine disagreement about in-game probabilities.

Atlanta came in at 0-2, having failed to reach the red zone in its first two games, but the market has moved sharply in the Falcons' favour. The catalyst is clear: Michael Penix Jr. returned from a torn ACL to start Thursday's game, his first action since November 16 of the prior season. Atlanta parlayed a blocked field goal into a scoring drive capped by a Penix touchdown pass to Austin Hooper, and the Falcons held a 10-7 lead heading toward halftime. Meanwhile, Green Bay was 0-7 against the spread over their last seven games and posted the NFL's lowest completion rate at 52.1%.

With over $52.7 million in total volume across Kalshi, Gemini, and Polymarket US, this is one of the most heavily traded NFL games on the prediction markets this week. The dominant takeaway is that the in-game Falcons edge reflected on Polymarket US appears substantially stronger than Kalshi's odds currently suggest.

_AI-written summary written 2026-09-25; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread 20.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Spread 21.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Spread 20.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 13.5 total first downs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 100.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 0.5 total sacks — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 0.5 total touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 14.5 points in 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 10.5 points in 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 10.5 points in 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 14.5 points in 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 14.5 points in 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Falcons over 13.5 total first downs — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 250.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 1.5 total touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 3.5 points in 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- Over 7.5 total points in 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Over 6.5 total points in 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Spread 8.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 4.5 points in 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 150.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 300.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers wins by over 3.5 points in 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Spread 7.5 (2H) — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers first to 14 points — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Falcons over 1.5 total touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Atlanta Falcons over 15.5 total first downs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 16.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Spread 6.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 200.5 — 2 outcomes
- Green Bay Packers over 2.5 total touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- … and 1014 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/600505?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/536102?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/489771?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/atlanta-vs-green-bay-kalshi-4bf06dd0).

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