---
title: "Atlanta vs Pittsburgh"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/atlanta-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-f1f26c92
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-08T22:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-15T22:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T01:07:02+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5132511.5
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T19:55:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/atlanta-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-f1f26c92
---

# Atlanta vs Pittsburgh

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-08 22:40 UTC · $5,132,512 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Atlanta Braves** won. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

This event is a series of MLB markets around the Braves-Pirates game on July 8, 2026 at PNC Park. The main moneyline is very close, with Atlanta narrowly favored on Kalshi at 51.0%. Let me write the description.

The Atlanta Braves–Pittsburgh Pirates matchup on July 8, 2026 at PNC Park has drawn more than $2.2M in total volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Azuro, spanning a moneyline, run totals, spreads, first-five-innings props, and dozens of player prop markets. The headline market asks simply whether Atlanta wins the game outright, with the alternative being a Pittsburgh victory.

The moneyline is essentially a coin flip. Kalshi has Atlanta at 51.0% and Pittsburgh at 51.0% (implied vig on both sides), while Polymarket prices the Braves at 49.0% and the Pirates at 50.0%. Azuro is the outlier, leaning toward Pittsburgh at 57.8% versus Atlanta at 43.1%, a gap of roughly 14 points against the two larger books. The consensus favourite is Atlanta at 51.0%, but the edge is razor-thin — well within noise for a mid-season MLB game. Run environment markets show broad agreement that at least one run scores (99.5%) but only about 56.0% confidence in more than 3.5 total runs, pointing to a modest projected total.

The tight pricing likely reflects fresh information from the series opener: Pittsburgh routed Atlanta 12-4 on July 7, with Ryan O'Hearn hitting three home runs and driving in a franchise-record 10 RBI. Grant Holmes (5-4, 3.83) starts for Atlanta against Pittsburgh's Jared Jones (1-1, 5.28), a pitching edge that likely keeps the Braves nominally favoured despite the previous night's blowout. The cross-platform takeaway is a near-pick'em game where Kalshi and Polymarket agree closely while Azuro's thinner book skews notably toward the home Pirates.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 5 outcomes
- Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Hits — 4 outcomes
- Total Bases — 5 outcomes
- RBIs — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 13 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 25 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/9280?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3801?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/9214?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/atlanta-vs-pittsburgh-kalshi-f1f26c92).

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