---
title: "Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/avg-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-august
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-31T23:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-09T18:20:30+00:00
total_volume_usd: 40625.58
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-01T05:54:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/avg-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-august
---

# Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?

Settled · $40,626 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**<25** won. Settled 2026-09-09.

## About

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/146738?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/avg-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-august).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.