---
title: "Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Top 10 in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-10-finishers-top-10-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-10T02:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22949.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:28:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-10-finishers-top-10-in-2026
---

# Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 10 Finishers — Top 10 in 2026

Live · $22,949 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 94% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 89% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| Michael Olise | 86% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 86% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 72% | 74¢ on Kalshi | 74¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 60% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Pau Cubarsí | 41% | 47¢ on Kalshi | 47¢ |
| Declan Rice | 28% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Gabriel | 10% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Achraf Hakimi | 9% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Luis Díaz | 8% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Vitinha | 8% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Bruno Fernandes | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Julián Quiñones | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Ferran Torres | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Rodri | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | — | 56¢ on Kalshi | 56¢ |
| Lautaro Martínez | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | — | — | — |
| João Neves | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Marquinhos | — | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Marc Cucurella | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| William Saliba | — | — | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | — | — | — |
| Sadio Mané | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/539821?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-10-finishers-top-10-in-2026.

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