---
title: "Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Top 5 in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-5-finishers-top-5-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-10T02:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 16931.78
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:17:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-5-finishers-top-5-in-2026
---

# Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers — Top 5 in 2026

Live · $16,932 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 94% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 66% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| Rodri | 58% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ |
| Michael Olise | 44% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 36% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 22% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Fabián Ruiz | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Pau Cubarsí | 5% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | — | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| Marc Cucurella | — | — | — |
| Luis Díaz | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | — | — | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | — | — | — |
| Harry Kane | — | — | — |
| Sadio Mané | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | — | — | — |
| João Neves | — | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Declan Rice | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| William Saliba | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | — | — | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/513300?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ballon-dor-2026-top-5-finishers-top-5-in-2026.

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