---
title: "Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Dec 17, 2026 meeting"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/bank-of-mexico-rate-decision-in-december-dec-17-2026-meeting
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-17T18:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1440.54
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:27:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bank-of-mexico-rate-decision-in-december-dec-17-2026-meeting
---

# Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Dec 17, 2026 meeting

Live · $1,441 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut 25bps | 12% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Cut 50bps | — | — | — |
| Maintain current rate | — | — | — |
| Hike 50bps | — | — | — |
| Hike more than 50bps | — | — | — |
| Hike 25bps | — | — | — |
| Cut more than 50bps | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293448?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bank-of-mexico-rate-decision-in-december-dec-17-2026-meeting.

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