---
title: "Baybars vs Erel"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/baybars-vs-erel
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T11:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T09:01:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 61627.13
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:52:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/baybars-vs-erel
---

# Baybars vs Erel

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC · $61,627 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi

## Result

**Yanki Erel** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This market covers the professional tennis semifinal between Aren Baybars and Yanki Erel at the 2026 M25 Roda de Bara tournament on hard court. A "Yes" for either player resolves once that player wins the match, provided a ball has been played; walkovers or pre-match cancellations resolve at $0.50, while a mid-match withdrawal resolves the withdrawing player to No. The event is listed on Kalshi, which drew essentially all of the $61,627 in volume, and on Azuro, which recorded no trading activity.

Yanki Erel is the overwhelming favourite. Kalshi prices him at 99.0% to win, with Baybars at just 1.0%, implying near-certainty of an Erel victory. Azuro's outright market points the same direction but less emphatically, showing Erel at 95.2% and Baybars at 11.2%. Azuro also carries a handicap line, with Baybars +6.5 games at 54.1% and Erel -6.5 at 51.8%, suggesting a roughly even expectation on margin once the spread is applied.

Both platforms agree Erel is the clear favourite, but Kalshi's pricing is materially tighter than Azuro's, leaving a roughly 3.8-point gap on the headline outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Handicap 6.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17326?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17372?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/baybars-vs-erel.

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