---
title: "Berlin state election: Grüne vote share? — in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/berlin-state-election-grune-vote-share-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-09-20T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2006.85
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:49:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/berlin-state-election-grune-vote-share-in-2026
---

# Berlin state election: Grüne vote share? — in 2026

Live · $2,007 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator. Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow. If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10% | — | — | — |
| At least 12% | — | — | — |
| At least 14% | 95% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| At least 16% | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| At least 18% | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| At least 20% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/565638?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/berlin-state-election-grune-vote-share-in-2026.

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