---
title: "Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/berlin-state-election-linke-vote-share
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-09-20T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 96247.25
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:45:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/berlin-state-election-linke-vote-share
---

# Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?

Live · $96,247 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Thresholds

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | — | — | — |
| At least 18% | — | — | — |
| At least 20% | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| At least 22% | 85% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| At least 24% | — | — | — |
| At least 26% | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Other markets

- Ranges — 4 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/548819?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/298847?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/berlin-state-election-linke-vote-share.

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