---
title: "Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-9
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T16:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 67090.5
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:44:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-9
---

# Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?

Live · $67,090 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 96% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Down | 4% | 5¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/751893?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-9.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.